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Where did Hillary Clinton Outperform Kamala Harris and Vice Versa?

Last Updated: November 22, 2024 Leave a Comment

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Where did Hillary Clinton Outperform Kamala Harris and Vice Versa

The map above shows where Hillary Clinton did relatively better than Kamala Harris and vice versa based on the relative share of each’s states popular vote.

States where Harris got at least 5 percentage points more of the popular vote than Clinton are coloured dark blue (5 states, NE-1, NE-2 and ME-1).

States where Clinton got at least 5 percentage points more of the popular vote than Harris are coloured dark red (none).

The lighter colours show where the margin was between 1 and 5 percentage points and the lightest colours are where the margin was sub 1 percentage points between them.

Overall, Harris actually got a higher share of the vote in the majority of states both in terms of number and electoral college votes compared to Clinton, despite her losing the popular vote to Trump and Clinton winning it by 3 million vote.

One of the big reasons is that Third Party candidates got 5.7% of the votes in 2016, compared to 1.89% of votes in 2024.

This means that while Harris improved her vote share vs Clinton by around 0.12 percentage points nationally, Trump improve his vote share by 3.78 percentage points.

You can see the data below. Note positive numbers means Harris did better and negative numbers means Clinton did better.

StateClinton Total VotesClinton Vote Share %Harris Total VotesHarris Vote Share %Share DifferenceTotal Vote Difference
Alabama729,54734.36%769,39134.10%-0.26%39,844
Alaska116,45436.55%130,76341.00%4.45%14,309
Arizona1,161,16744.58%1,576,21546.70%2.12%415,048
Arkansas380,49433.65%395,85133.50%-0.15%15,357
California8,753,78861.73%9,077,79658.70%-3.03%324,008
Colorado1,338,87048.16%1,727,57854.20%6.04%388,708
Connecticut897,57254.57%989,54556.40%1.83%91,973
Delaware235,60353.09%289,58556.60%3.51%53,982
District of Columbia282,83090.86%289,45390.20%-0.66%6,623
Florida4,504,97547.82%4,680,74843.00%-4.82%175,773
Georgia1,877,96345.64%2,544,28148.50%2.86%666,318
Hawaii266,89162.22%312,38460.60%-1.62%45,493
Idaho189,76527.49%274,83830.40%2.91%85,073
Illinois3,090,72955.83%2,939,02254.10%-1.73%-151,707
Indiana1,033,12637.77%1,158,65039.70%1.93%125,524
Iowa653,66941.74%706,55642.70%0.96%52,887
Kansas427,00536.05%532,47541.00%4.95%105,470
Kentucky628,85432.68%700,92033.90%1.22%72,066
Louisiana780,15438.45%766,42438.20%-0.25%-13,730
Maine357,73547.83%430,79552.10%4.27%73,060
ME-1212,77453.96%256,57059.30%5.34%43,796
ME-2144,81740.98%174,22544.20%3.22%29,408
Maryland1,677,92860.33%1,830,25062.20%1.87%152,322
Massachusetts1,995,19660.01%2,072,30461.30%1.29%77,108
Michigan2,268,83947.27%2,724,02948.30%1.03%455,190
Minnesota1,367,71646.44%1,656,82951.10%4.66%289,113
Mississippi485,13140.06%435,96537.30%-2.76%-49,166
Missouri1,071,06838.14%1,190,80640.00%1.86%119,738
Montana177,70935.75%231,85638.50%2.75%54,147
Nebraska †284,49433.70%369,29439.10%5.40%84,800
NE-1100,13235.46%135,86742.80%7.34%35,735
NE-2131,03044.92%163,21451.70%6.78%32,184
NE-353,33219.73%69,80922.50%2.77%16,477
Nevada539,26047.92%703,90247.50%-0.42%164,642
New Hampshire348,52646.98%417,18050.90%3.92%68,654
New Jersey2,148,27855.45%2,205,93252.00%-3.45%57,654
New Mexico385,23448.26%476,08851.80%3.54%90,854
New York4,556,12459.01%4,395,11755.60%-3.41%-161,007
North Carolina2,189,31646.17%2,688,79747.70%1.53%499,481
North Dakota93,75827.23%112,32730.50%3.27%18,569
Ohio2,394,16443.56%2,476,00343.90%0.34%81,839
Oklahoma420,37528.93%499,59931.90%2.97%79,224
Oregon1,002,10650.07%1,226,55855.30%5.23%224,452
Pennsylvania2,926,44147.46%3,366,82948.50%1.04%440,388
Rhode Island252,52554.41%285,13255.50%1.09%32,607
South Carolina855,37340.67%1,027,22540.40%-0.27%171,852
South Dakota117,45831.74%146,85934.20%2.46%29,401
Tennessee870,69534.72%1,055,03934.50%-0.22%184,344
Texas3,877,86843.24%4,806,44142.40%-0.84%928,573
Utah310,67627.46%562,56037.80%10.34%251,884
Vermont178,57356.68%235,79163.20%6.52%57,218
Virginia1,981,47349.73%2,334,86751.80%2.07%353,394
Washington1,742,71852.54%2,234,24157.30%4.76%491,523
West Virginia188,79426.43%214,30928.10%1.67%25,515
Wisconsin1,382,53646.45%1,667,88148.90%2.45%285,345
Wyoming55,97321.88%69,50826.10%4.22%13,535
Total65,853,51648.18%74,812,47348.30%0.12%8,958,957

Sources for the data include:

  • Wikipedia
  • BBC

And a special thank you to 270toWin for their integrative map tool.

Filed Under: United States

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